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*Please make sure you understand how to use the table above. The main purpose of this report is to provide information so contradictory signals are always presented.
SEASONALITY: WEEK AFTER TRIPLE WITCHING, DOW DOWN 15 OF LAST 22, ALSO MARCH IS KNOWN AS A TURNING MONTH
See 03/19 Market Recap for more details.
CYCLE ANALYSIS: COULD RISE TO AROUND 03/25 BEFORE ANY MEANINGFUL PULLBACK
See 03/22 Market Recap for more details.
INTERMEDIATE-TERM: EXPECT ROLLER COASTER AHEAD
See 03/19 Market Recap for more details.
SHORT-TERM: ALL UP DAY MEANS A DOWN DAY TOMORROW, I’M NOT CONVINCED THOUGH
Nothing to say today. Already mentioned in the After Bell Quick Summary, there’s 77% chances of an up day tomorrow. However, according to 6.4.9 All Up Day Watch, see dashed red lines, because today’s an All Up Day, so it should mean a down day tomorrow. Personally, I’m not convinced about the down day the next day after an All Up Day kind of stuff, for detailed discussion please see 11/17/2009 Market Recap. Right now I’m very anxious to know what the Rydex traders and institutions’ reactions toward today’s big rally. Unfortunately, the most recent data about these two sides will have to wait until tomorrow morning so if I find something interesting, I’ll have another post tomorrow morning.
STOCK SCREENER: For fun only, I may not actually trade the screeners. Since SPY ST Model is in BUY mode, only LONG candidates are listed. For back test details as well as how to confirm the entry and set stop loss please read HERE. Please make sure you understand the basic risk management HERE.
Looks like it’s too late to long stocks now as the market is way too overbought. Waiting for a better chance.