The bottom line, the short-term trend is down. I hold partial short position over the weekend.
On a little bit longer than short-term, bears finally see the light at the other side of the tunnel as the daily chart looks not that beautiful anymore. Let’s just pray that the light does not turn out to be the front light of an incoming train, after all, there’s no lower low yet even on SPY 60 min chart.
Odds favor bulls for the next Monday as whenever VIX rises more than 18%, long SPX at close and sell at the very first up day since 1999, you’ve had 81% chances to win something, most likely the next trading day.
Enjoy your weekend!
Demo account for short-term model, $200 max loss allowed per trade. Mechanical trading signal, for fun only.
| TICKER | Entry Date | Entry Price | Share | Stop Loss | Exit Date | Exit Price | Profit | Comment |
| SDS | 01/28/2011 | $22.64 | 100 | $22.65 | ||||
| SDS | 01/28/2011 | $22.64 | 300 | $22.09 | 01/28/2011 | $23.03 | 117.00 | Partial profit before weekend. |
| SSO | 01/26/2011 | $50.87 | 200 | $49.72 | 01/26/2011 | $51.06 | 38.00 | |
| SSO | 01/24/2011 | $50.49 | 100 | $48.97 | 01/24/2011 | $50.52 | 3.00 | |
| SDS | 01/20/2011 | $22.98 | 200 | $22.34 | 01/25/2011 | $22.75 | -46.00 | Half positioned to balance long position. |
| SSO | 01/19/2011 | $49.81 | 100 | $48.86 | 01/21/2011 | $50.20 | 39.00 | Speculation play, half positioned. |
| SDS | 01/19/2011 | $22.77 | 500 | $22.34 | 01/19/2011 | $22.91 | 70.00 | |
| SSO | 01/14/2011 | $50.06 | 50 | $50.73 | 01/19/2011 | $50.73 | 33.50 | |
| SSO | 01/14/2011 | $50.06 | 150 | $48.86 | 01/14/2011 | $50.65 | 88.50 | |
| SSO | 01/12/2011 | $49.91 | 100 | $48.25 | 01/12/2011 | $50.11 | 20.00 | |
| SSO | 01/11/2011 | $49.20 | 100 | $48.25 | 01/12/2011 | $50.02 | 82.00 | |
| SSO | 01/11/2011 | $49.20 | 100 | $48.25 | 01/11/2011 | $49.24 | 4.00 | Risk control, half position out. |
| SSO | 01/10/2011 | $48.98 | 100 | $47.65 | 01/11/2011 | $49.38 | 40.00 | |
| SSO | 01/06/2011 | $49.26 | 100 | $48.29 | 01/07/2011 | $48.28 | -98.00 | Stop loss. |
| SSO | 01/06/2011 | $49.26 | 100 | $48.29 | 01/07/2011 | $49.50 | 24.00 | Target met, partial profit. |
| SSO | 01/04/2011 | $49.02 | 100 | $47.65 | 01/05/2011 | $49.38 | 36.00 | |
| SSO | 12/30/2010 | $48.02 | 100 | $48.66 | 01/04/2011 | $48.66 | 64.00 | |
| SSO | 12/30/2010 | $48.02 | 100 | $47.44 | 01/03/2011 | $49.20 | 118.00 | Partial profit. |
| SDS | 12/30/2010 | $23.88 | 400 | $23.60 | 01/03/2011 | $23.30 | -232.00 | Gap down, manual stop loss used. |
| SUM | 401.00 |