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SHORT-TERM: COULD SEE MORE WEAKNESS AHEAD
My guess is the pullback isn’t over yet. The main argument is ChiOsc is a little too high. Just take a look at the dashed red lines to see what happened in the past when ChiOsc was a little bit high.
Another argument is, strictly speaking, SPY now has 7 consecutive reversal like bars, at least should mean something, shouldn’t it? Listed below, again, are all the past important bottoms since the year 2009 bull market, I’m not saying “n vs n” this time (even, it’s all about n vs n, bulls still lost this time, remember?), I want you to pay attention to the blue horizontal lines, then tell me, do you see any past cases that before a new recovery high that SPX consolidated a lot (like we do those days)? All broke to a new recovery high without taking a breath, right? So at least the up momentum this time is weaker than the previous times, isn’t it?
INTERMEDIATE-TERM: BULLISH APRIL, SPX TARGET 1352 TO 1381, BEWARE 04/11 TO 04/14 PIVOT DATE
See 04/01 Market Recap for more details.
SEASONALITY: APRIL HAS BEEN HISTORICALLY THE MOST BULLISH MONTH OF THE YEAR
See 04/01 Market Recap for more details.
HIGHLIGHTS OF THE OTHER ETFS IN MY PUBLIC CHART LIST
TREND | COMMENT | |
QQQQ&Weekly | UP | |
IWM & Weekly | UP | |
SSEC & Weekly | UP | Ascending Triangle, so may go higher from here. |
EEM & Weekly | UP | |
XIU & Weekly | UP | |
TLT & Weekly | UP | |
FXE & Weekly | UP | |
GLD & Weekly | UP | |
GDX & Weekly | 04/05 L | |
USO & Weekly | UP | |
XLE & Weekly | UP | |
XLF & Weekly | DOWN | |
IYR & Weekly | UP | |
XLB & Weekly | UP | |
DBA & Weekly | DOWN |
- Please make sure you understand how to use the table above. The purpose of this report is to provide info so contradictory signals are always presented.
- * = New update; Blue Text = Link to a chart in my public chart list.
- UP = Intermediate-term uptrend. Set when weekly buy signal is triggered.
- DOWN = Intermediate-term downtrend. Set when weekly sell signal is triggered.